News
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Apr 12 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 0.2%. More
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Mar 30 2019
Full RV Interview: ECRI Slowdown Call, Process & Current Outlook
30-minute interview on ECRI’s 2018 slowdown call, our process, and updates to our outlook. More
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Mar 29 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to -1.4%. More
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Mar 27 2019
GDP Data Tells You Nothing About Recession Risk
GDP data can be very misleading around cycle turning points – especially in the lead-up to recession. More
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Mar 26 2019
The Telegraph
Don't Get Greedy and Don't Try to Time The Top of This Tired 10-year Bull Market
If semiconductor sales are the canary in the coal mine for the world economy, be careful. More
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Mar 22 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -2.3%. More
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Mar 20 2019
Interview: Cycling Into Slowdown
Highlights of Real Vision discussion on our 2018 slowdown call, the ECRI process, ECRI insights, and updates to the outlook. More
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Mar 16 2019
The Canary in the Semiconductor-chip Fab
ECRI’s leading indexes, which anticipate turning points in semiconductor shipment growth, clearly predicted this collapse. More
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Mar 15 2019
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -2.9%. More
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Mar 11 2019
Recession or Not, It's Out of Trump's Hands
During a speech at CPAC last week, President Trump blamed a strong U.S. dollar and interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve for hurting the economy. More
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Mar 08 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to -3.7%. More
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Mar 06 2019
„Wir leihen uns das Wachstum“
Der Brexit und Trumps Handelskonflikt beeinflussen die Wirtschaft deutlich weniger als gemeinhin angenommen. More
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Mar 01 2019
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -4.2%. More
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Feb 26 2019
Trump & Xi Trade, China Outlook, Fed
ECRI's Achuthan joins Bloomberg TV to discuss our high conviction, contrarian views, Brexit, trade tensions and the prospect of hitting Trump’s growth targets. More
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Feb 21 2019
Fed Pivot and ECRI Leading Indexes
ECRI's Achuthan joins CNBC's Closing Bell to discuss the Fed, ECRI’s leading indexes, and the risk of a U.S. recession. More
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Feb 19 2019
The Fed’s 'First, Do No Harm' Policy Is Harmful
Instead of pausing, the central bank may need to start cutting interest rates to avoid a recession. More
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Feb 15 2019
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks down to -4.3%. More
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Feb 08 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -4.0%. More
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Feb 06 2019
ECRI Indexes Lead Global PMI
Because ECRI leading indexes turn before the PMIs that shape the consensus, they are key to managing cycle risk. More
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Feb 05 2019
China Slowing Hits Commodity Exporters
ECRI’s Achuthan discusses commodity price inflation and the latest Chinese industrial outlook. More
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