News
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Mar 11 2021
Treasury Yield Trend Suggests No Relief From Higher Rates
Even though the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield touched a one-week low on Wednesday, Lakshman Achuthan believes the path forward is higher. More
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Mar 05 2021
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases further to 22.9%. More
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Mar 05 2021
Inflation Cycle View Provides Clarity
Managing cyclical risk means anticipating cyclical swings in economic growth and also inflation, where getting the cyclical direction wrong can be devastating. More
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Feb 16 2021
Case Study: U.S. Inflation – Cyclical Insights
The 2016 upturn in U.S. inflation shows how ECRI’s cyclical framework of leading indexes benefitted decision-makers. More
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Feb 01 2021
Gamestop and Market Volatility
The Fed and Wall Street are a bit untethered and susceptible to the narrative. More
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Jan 29 2021
Smooth Reflation Sailing (For Now...)
Long-form interview sharing our outlook on economic growth, inflation, and markets. More
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Jan 22 2021
What Is The Risk of a Major Market Correction?
With stocks near all-time highs, there’s increasing concern about a market correction, or worse. More
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Jan 15 2021
Global Industrial Upturn Despite Continuing Covid Crisis
How our May 2020 global industrial upturn call played out through the New Year, and what comes next. More
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Jan 05 2021
What Investors Should Expect From 2021's Economic Climate
ECRI's outlook for 2021 on Yahoo Finance. More
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Jan 04 2021
2021 Outlook
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Yahoo Finance regarding the outlook for 2021. More
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Dec 31 2020
2021 Look Ahead
We know that the bears are hibernating, but trees don't grow to the sky. More
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Dec 16 2020
2020 Track Record: Covid-19, Shortest Recession, Global Recovery
Updates to ECRI’s 2020 track record, including mandated “short” recessions, recoveries, inflation cycle calls and some fresh slowdowns. More
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Dec 10 2020
Home Price Growth Rising at Fastest Pace Since Early 2000s
Housing is doing something it hasn’t done since the bubble. More
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Dec 07 2020
Business Cycle Dynamics Point the Way Higher
Leading indexes continue to point to a robust recovery and reflation trade. More
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Dec 01 2020
Durability of "Short Recession" and Recovery Call
Discussing the durability of our April "short recession" and recovery call. More
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Nov 13 2020
Podcast: Economic Cycles, Inflation and Recovery Update
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan shares updated cycle research insights, highlighting the inflation cycle and the shape of the recovery. More
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Nov 05 2020
Election Uncertainty Leaves U.S. Economic Rescue Hanging In The Balance
As Americans wait on the final results of the 2020 election, the outcome will have a big effect on the size and timing of any additional economic rescue package. More
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Oct 28 2020
Cyclical Recovery and the U.S. Consumer
Watch interview on ECRI’s outlook regarding the cyclical economic recovery and the U.S. consumer. More
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Oct 26 2020
What Does Our Future Inflation Gauge Tell Us About Inflation Prospects?
Barron's Streetwise Podcast Interview. More
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Oct 15 2020
Inflation Is Making A ‘Pervasive and Persistent’ Comeback
Interview on the inflation cycle, along with consumers spending on goods and services, and business cycle recovery. More
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