News
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Aug 21 2020
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to -2.7%. More
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Aug 18 2020
Leading Indexes Show Where Consumer is Headed
Interview on ECRI’s high-frequency leading indexes objectively reveal what comes next for global industrial growth outlook and the U.S. consumer. More
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Aug 14 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -4.1%. More
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Aug 13 2020
Gold is Not All that Glitters
Gold grabs the headlines, but Copper has truly been on a tear. More
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Aug 07 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to -5.3%. More
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Aug 03 2020
PMIs Up In Line with Earlier Forecast
Manufacturing PMIs again confirm our May upturn call. More
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Jul 31 2020
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks up to -6.5%. More
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Jul 24 2020
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -7.0%. More
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Jul 17 2020
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks up to -7.2%. More
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Jul 15 2020
Recovery from Recession and Risk of Fresh Slowdown
Interview on recession, recovery and the risk of a fresh slowdown. More
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Jul 15 2020
Are We in the Beginning of A New Downturn? Well...
It may be two steps forward, one step back along the way. More
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Jul 10 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to -7.7%. More
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Jul 06 2020
Cyclical Fundamentals to the Upside
"This weekly leading index objectively in an apolitical way tells us what do all these positives and negatives. So far, so good." More
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Jul 02 2020
Weekly Leading Index Virtually Unchanged
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases further to -8.7%. More
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Jun 24 2020
Biggest Risk for Markets
Interview on recession severity and the biggest risk for markets. More
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Jun 24 2020
Interview: Short Recession Call Revisited
A review of ECRI’s April 2020 public short recession call, and updated questions and answers. More
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Jun 24 2020
Yes, We're in a Recession. But the Market's Rally Still Makes Perfect Sense
With the economy officially in the deepest recession in living memory, the stock market's ongoing rally can seem baffling. More
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Jun 19 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases further to -14.9%. More
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Jun 13 2020
Why a Ruinous Recession and Soaring Stocks Make Perfect Sense
A rising equity market historically leads an upturn in the business cycle. More
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Jun 12 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises further to -18.5%. More
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