News
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Apr 22 2016
What The Fed Can Learn From Carl Sagan
Unfortunately, the Fed's policy making experts haven't got the goods to back up their claims. More
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Apr 20 2016
U.S. Coincident Index Growth Rate Slips
Year-over-year growth in ECRI's USCI slips to 2.3%. More
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Apr 15 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Increases
U.S. WLI increases to 134.2, growth rate rises to 2.5%. More
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Apr 15 2016
Flawed Assumptions and Grand Experiments
Minsky conference slides and audio. More
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Apr 13 2016
Fed Faces Stagflation Lite
With sluggish U.S. economic growth slowing further, and inflation on the rise, the Fed is faced with "stagflation lite." More
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Apr 08 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Ticked Up
U.S. WLI ticked up to 133.2, growth rate rose to 1.6%. More
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Apr 07 2016
New Growth Rate Cycle Peak Date Determined for Japan
New Japanese growth rate cycle date. More
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Apr 04 2016
U.S. WLI Monthly Increased
U.S. WLI (monthly data) increased to 130.5, growth rate rose to 0.9%. More
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Apr 01 2016
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rose
The USFIG rose further in March to its highest reading since the summer of 2008. More
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Apr 01 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Rises
U.S. WLI rises to 133.0, growth rate increases to 0.7%. More
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Mar 24 2016
U.S. Coincident Index Growth Rate Ticks Down
Year-over-year growth in ECRI's USCI, a broad measure of economic activity that includes GDP, employment, income and sales, ticked down to to 2.3%. More
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Mar 24 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Increased
U.S. WLI increased to 132.4, growth rate rose to -0.7%. More
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Mar 18 2016
U.S. WLI Edges Up
U.S. WLI edges up to 131.6, growth rate increases to -2.3%. More
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Mar 16 2016
Interview on Fed and the Business Cycle
More often than not, turns in economic surprise indexes are false alarms, and false all-clear signals. More
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Mar 15 2016
Monetary Policy Parlor Tricks
Inexorable declines in NGDP growth have become more evident internationally. More
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Mar 11 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Increased
U.S. WLI increased to 131.0, growth rate ticked up to -3.1%. More
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Mar 08 2016
U.S. WLI Monthly Slipped
U.S. Weekly Leading Index (monthly data) slipped to 127.7, growth rate fell to -3.4%. More
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Mar 04 2016
U.S. Weekly Leading Index Virtually Unchanged
U.S. WLI virtually unchanged at 129.2, growth rate ticked down to -3.5%. More
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Mar 04 2016
U.S. Inflation Gauge Grows in February
The USFIG increased further in February to a 16-month high. More
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Mar 01 2016
Simple Math Revisited
Potential U.S. GDP growth is converging to ¾% a year, identical to Japan's GDP growth over its "lost decades." More
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