News
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May 11 2020
The Business Cycle Basics of this Recession
Understanding the depth, diffusion and duration of this downturn. More
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May 08 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -35.9%. More
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May 08 2020
Podcast: The Recession in Context, and the Coming Recovery
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan shares what cycle research insights tell us about the covid-19 recession, and what’s likely to come next. More
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May 08 2020
Fastest Job Loss Ever
Eventually, the hemorrhaging of jobs will be stanched, and employment will start rising. But even that would be far from enough for things to start feeling better. More
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May 01 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to -38.8%. More
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Apr 24 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -41.9%. More
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Apr 23 2020
The Three D’s and High-Frequency Leading Indicators
We measure recessions with the Three D’s: depth, diffusion and duration. Here’s what we are watching for signs of recovery. More
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Apr 22 2020
Interview: Three D's and High-Frequency Data
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the three D’s: depth, diffusion and duration. More
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Apr 14 2020
Radio Interview on Recession (in German)
A discussion on recession, recovery and long-term impacts of the pandemic. More
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Apr 09 2020
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate drops to a record low of -37.2%. More
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Apr 04 2020
A Nasty, Short and Bitter Recession
While we all appreciate the urgency of reopening the economy, saving lives is a precondition for saving livelihoods. More
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Apr 03 2020
Weekly Leading Index Drops
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate plummets to -26.9%. More
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Mar 27 2020
Weekly Leading Index Worst Since Great Recession
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate plummets to -15.5%. More
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Mar 20 2020
Weekly Leading Index Falls
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases to -4.4%. More
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Mar 17 2020
Fed's Latest Rate Cut Was a Useless and Desperate Move
Cascading closures across the economy will necessarily cause a breakdown in demand. More
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Mar 13 2020
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate falls to -0.5%. More
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Mar 12 2020
School Closures Are Starting, And They’ll Have Far-Reaching Economic Impacts
School closures might hurt the economy, but keeping them open could make things worse. More
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Mar 06 2020
The Fed's Emergency Rate Cut Was A Big Mistake
Our research shows that the US economy came into this epidemic in more resilient cyclical shape than most realize. More
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Mar 06 2020
Weekly Leading Index Falls
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases to 1.2%. More
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Mar 05 2020
Impact of Mass School Closings
Discussion on how mass school closings would effect the economy if they come to pass. More
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