News
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Aug 30 2019
Surveillance Podcast: Global Slowdown and Trade War
ECRI's Achuthan joins Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast to discuss global slowdown and U.S.-China trade war. More
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Aug 30 2019
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth falls to -2.1%. More
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Aug 30 2019
China’s “Rust Belt” Problem
The Chinese cyclical slowdown continues, as they shore up their “rust belt.” More
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Aug 29 2019
Inflation Cycle, The Fed and Recession Risks
ECRI's Achuthan joined CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the inflation cycle, Fed and recession risks. More
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Aug 23 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth decreases to -1.3%. More
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Aug 20 2019
How an Economic Downturn Could Ravage Hollywood
“The yield curve is a very imperfect leading indicator of a recession, globally,” says Achuthan, calling it just a “piece of the puzzle.” More
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Aug 16 2019
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth declines to -0.5%. More
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Aug 14 2019
Recession Risk, Rate Cuts and the Future Inflation Gauge
Recession risk is determined not by when the Fed stops rate hikes, but by when it starts a rate cut cycle. More
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Aug 09 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth slips to 0.1%. More
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Aug 01 2019
PMIs Have Not Bottomed Yet
ECRI leading index of PMIs predicts cyclical turns in the ISM and Markit U.S. manufacturing PMIs. More
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Jul 31 2019
The Elephant in the Room Forcing the Fed Rate Cut
The inflation cycle downturn leaves the Fed with no option but to cut rates. More
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Jul 26 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth edged up to 0.0%. More
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Jul 19 2019
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth increases to -0.7%. More
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Jul 17 2019
Interview: CSX Earnings and Productivity
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Yahoo Finance to discuss latest U.S. economic news topics. More
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Jul 17 2019
Interview: Using Data to Answer the Recession Question
Highlights of Real Vision discussion on our 2018 downturn call and updated public outlook. More
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Jul 16 2019
China and G7 Inflation
ECRI spoke with Bloomberg Daybreak Asia, about global industrial growth, inflation and China’s stimulus. More
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Jul 12 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rises to -1.2%. More
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Jul 11 2019
Earning Growth Outlook Plunges
Earnings growth is highly sensitive to cycles in economic growth, so every cyclical slowdown sees a plunge in earnings growth. More
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Jul 08 2019
Interview: What will the Fed do?
"Elephant in the room" remains the inflation cycle downturn. More
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Jul 08 2019
Monthly Jobs Surveys May Overshoot Gains
Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg Radio to discuss ECRI's latest opinion piece. More
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