News
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Nov 30 2016
A Tale of Two Job Markets
Whites now have fewer jobs than nine years ago, while Hispanics, Blacks and Asians together gained all of the net jobs added, and more. More
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Nov 23 2016
U.S. WLI Increases
U.S. Weekly Leading Index increases to 141.6, while the growth rate rises to 7.1%. More
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Nov 18 2016
U.S. WLI Increased
U.S. Weekly Leading Index increased to 139.2, while the growth rate ticked down to 6.2%. More
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Nov 17 2016
All of a Sudden, Inflation Fears Intensify
The upturn in inflation, which ECRI predicted many months ago, has now become a significant concern. More
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Nov 15 2016
Inflation Is Going to Rise; Here's How to Protect Yourself
Commodity prices and bond yields are both up since the election of Donald Trump. More
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Nov 14 2016
2-Year U.S. Downward Growth Mode Won't Turn On A Dime
U.S. economic growth outlook, inflation prospects, and Fed rate hike. More
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Nov 14 2016
Plunging Predictions
The five-year-ahead GDP growth forecast for the U.S. is approaching that of the Eurozone, just 1½ % per the IMF. More
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Nov 11 2016
U.S. WLI Edged Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index edged up to 138.6, while the growth rate decreased to 6.7%. More
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Nov 10 2016
No, A Global Recession Isn't Imminent
Pundits who claim Trump's victory will augur in instant economic disaster are wrong. More
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Nov 10 2016
U.S. WLI Monthly Ticked Down
U.S. WLI (monthly data) ticked down to 137.2, growth rate decreased to 7.2%. More
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Nov 04 2016
MarketPlace
Yes, Wages Are Rising Faster Than In Several Years. No, That Isn't Great.
Lakshman Achuthan's podcast interview on Marketplace. More
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Nov 04 2016
U.S. WLI Ticked Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index ticked down to 138.4, while the growth rate decreased to 7.3%. More
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Nov 04 2016
U.S. FIG Rises in October
USFIG at 101-month high. "Thus, underlying inflation pressures are still ratcheting up." More
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Nov 04 2016
Cautionary Signs for Consumer Spending
Consumer spending, which accounts for roughly 70% of GDP, is critical to the Fed's optimistic view on the economy as it prepares to hike rates in December. More
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Oct 31 2016
Shunted to the Sidelines
For those without a high school diploma, the percentage of Blacks and Hispanics with jobs is back up near record highs, but the majority of non-Hispanic Whites have been jobless for seven long years. More
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Oct 28 2016
U.S. WLI Decreased
U.S. Weekly Leading Index decreased to 138.6, while the growth rate edged down to 8.0%. More
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Oct 26 2016
U.S. WLI Monthly Increased
U.S. WLI (monthly data) increased to 137.0, growth rate rose to 8.0%. More
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Oct 21 2016
Financial Sense
Interview: Recession Risk, The Fed & Fiscal Policy
Slowdown almost 2 years old, but no recession imminent. More
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Oct 21 2016
U.S. WLI Edges Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index edges up to 139.6, while the growth rate ticks down to 8.8%. More
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Oct 20 2016
Fed Risks Lehman Blunder Repeat as US Recession Storm Gathers
We have been seeing a 'growth-rate' cyclical downturn for the last two years. The longer this goes on, the less wiggle room there is. More
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