News
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Apr 18 2019
Levy Economics Institute
Probing Powell’s Patience
ECRI presentation slides discuss the Fed’s review of its monetary policy approach in the context of Powell’s view of the Greenspan Fed. More
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Apr 18 2019
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 1.2%. More
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Apr 12 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 0.2%. More
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Mar 30 2019
Full RV Interview: ECRI Slowdown Call, Process & Current Outlook
30-minute interview on ECRI’s 2018 slowdown call, our process, and updates to our outlook. More
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Mar 29 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to -1.4%. More
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Mar 27 2019
GDP Data Tells You Nothing About Recession Risk
GDP data can be very misleading around cycle turning points – especially in the lead-up to recession. More
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Mar 26 2019
The Telegraph
Don't Get Greedy and Don't Try to Time The Top of This Tired 10-year Bull Market
If semiconductor sales are the canary in the coal mine for the world economy, be careful. More
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Mar 22 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -2.3%. More
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Mar 20 2019
Interview: Cycling Into Slowdown
Highlights of Real Vision discussion on our 2018 slowdown call, the ECRI process, ECRI insights, and updates to the outlook. More
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Mar 16 2019
The Canary in the Semiconductor-chip Fab
ECRI’s leading indexes, which anticipate turning points in semiconductor shipment growth, clearly predicted this collapse. More
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Mar 15 2019
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -2.9%. More
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Mar 11 2019
Recession or Not, It's Out of Trump's Hands
During a speech at CPAC last week, President Trump blamed a strong U.S. dollar and interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve for hurting the economy. More
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Mar 08 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to -3.7%. More
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Mar 06 2019
„Wir leihen uns das Wachstum“
Der Brexit und Trumps Handelskonflikt beeinflussen die Wirtschaft deutlich weniger als gemeinhin angenommen. More
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Mar 01 2019
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -4.2%. More
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Feb 26 2019
Trump & Xi Trade, China Outlook, Fed
ECRI's Achuthan joins Bloomberg TV to discuss our high conviction, contrarian views, Brexit, trade tensions and the prospect of hitting Trump’s growth targets. More
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Feb 21 2019
Fed Pivot and ECRI Leading Indexes
ECRI's Achuthan joins CNBC's Closing Bell to discuss the Fed, ECRI’s leading indexes, and the risk of a U.S. recession. More
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Feb 19 2019
The Fed’s 'First, Do No Harm' Policy Is Harmful
Instead of pausing, the central bank may need to start cutting interest rates to avoid a recession. More
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Feb 15 2019
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks down to -4.3%. More
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Feb 08 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -4.0%. More
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