News
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Sep 01 2017
Weekly Leading Index Slips
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth falls to 73-week low. More
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Aug 25 2017
Finding the Root Cause of Recessions
Two things bear most of the blame: external shocks and economic volatility. More
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Aug 25 2017
Weekly Leading Index Edges Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth decreases to 72-week low. More
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Aug 24 2017
Flashback: Declining Productivity in Construction
ECRI readers have long known that manufacturing and construction productivity has been falling for six years, dragging down overall productivity growth. More
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Aug 18 2017
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips to 2.5%. More
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Aug 17 2017
Slow Growth Worries MPC's External Members
Growth in the Indian Leading Index is falling, as is Indian Leading Exports Index growth. More
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Aug 14 2017
Womenomics Falls Short for Japan
The long-term shift to non-regular work arrangements may actually exacerbate Japan's demographic challenges. More
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Aug 11 2017
Weekly Leading Index Virtually Unchanged
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks down to 2.7%. More
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Aug 08 2017
Weekly Leading Index Points to Slowing
Monthly data for ECRI's U.S. WLI shows it rose, while its growth rate ticked down to a 16-month low. More
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Aug 04 2017
Interview: Jobs, Inflation & the Fed
Central banks like the Fed are misled by their belief that a lower jobless rate equals higher inflation. More
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Aug 04 2017
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate virtually unchanged at 2.8%. More
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Aug 04 2017
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Dips
The USFIG dips in July, further distancing itself from last fall's cyclical peak. More
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Aug 01 2017
RBI Considers Leading Indicators
ECRI's leading indicator approach differs from standard econometric models. More
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Jul 31 2017
Phillips Curveball
It is the U.S. Future Inflation Gauge, "not the Phillips curve", that provides early warning of an inflation upturn. More
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Jul 28 2017
Weekly Leading Index Slips
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to 2.8%. More
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Jul 21 2017
Weekly Leading Index Rises
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to 2.6%. More
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Jul 19 2017
U.S. Long Leading Index: A Primer
The value of the ECRI's U.S. Long Leading Index (USLLI) lies in its ability to spot cyclical turns in the level of economic activity before conventional leading indexes. More
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Jul 18 2017
All Signs Point to a Cyclical Slowdown in Inflation
Even as central bankers get more hawkish, the data show there's a change underway that the Fed is likely to miss. More
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Jul 14 2017
Weekly Leading Index Unchanged
The U.S. WLI growth rate ticked down to 2.4, a 66-week low. More
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Jul 11 2017
Monthly U.S. WLI Falls
Monthly data for ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index shows its growth rate falling to 2.9%, a 15-month low. More
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