News
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Feb 21 2019
Fed Pivot and ECRI Leading Indexes
ECRI's Achuthan joins CNBC's Closing Bell to discuss the Fed, ECRI’s leading indexes, and the risk of a U.S. recession. More
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Feb 19 2019
The Fed’s 'First, Do No Harm' Policy Is Harmful
Instead of pausing, the central bank may need to start cutting interest rates to avoid a recession. More
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Feb 06 2019
ECRI Indexes Lead Global PMI
Because ECRI leading indexes turn before the PMIs that shape the consensus, they are key to managing cycle risk. More
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Feb 05 2019
China Slowing Hits Commodity Exporters
ECRI’s Achuthan discusses commodity price inflation and the latest Chinese industrial outlook. More
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Jan 30 2019
Cycles, the Fed & Recession Risk
ECRI's Achuthan discusses our cycle work, and how the reality of and how the Fed and recession risk. More
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Jan 28 2019
Turning Points in Global Growth & Market Risk
Global economic growth continues to slow, as ECRI correctly called a year ago, but no recession imminent. More
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Jan 26 2019
Updating Stock Price Corrections Call
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan shares an update on our cyclical risk of stock price corrections call. More
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Jan 17 2019
Interview: The Fed, Markets, Growth & Inflation
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan discussed our outlook for growth and inflation along with a discussion on markets and the Fed’s December blink. More
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Jan 04 2019
Colliding With the Economic Cycle – Again
As in 2016, the Fed’s rate hike plans have been on a collision course with the economic cycle. ECRI saw it coming. More
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Jan 02 2019
ECRI Industrial Price Index Continues to Drop
ECRI’s industrial price index is a critical tool for monitoring the risk of cycle turns in commodity price inflation. More
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Dec 31 2018
2018 Cycle Calls
ECRI’s 2018 real-time track record and a look at what comes next. More
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Dec 21 2018
"Eyes Wide Open," but the Fed is Just Staring at the Stars
ECRI joins CNBC to discuss the ongoing cyclical downturns in economic growth and inflation, and future Fed rate hikes. More
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Dec 20 2018
A Growing Economy Can Be Mauled By a Bear Market
5 bear markets since World War II have occurred when economic growth was positive, but decelerating. More
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Dec 19 2018
RBI’s MPC Minutes and ECRI
Growth in the Indian Leading Index, a predictor of the direction of Indian economic growth maintained by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), New York, has risen lately. More
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Dec 18 2018
The Telegraph
Credit Markets Signal Recession in Early 2019
“Fed policy is too tight given that inflation peaked in July. They overstayed their welcome.” More
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Dec 17 2018
Cycle Turns & Equity Corrections
Our earlier warning of elevated stock price correction risks will stay in place until ECRI’s leading indexes see the slowdown ending. More
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Dec 13 2018
What the Fed is Getting Wrong
The Fed and many market participants don’t really understand that inflation is cyclical. More
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Dec 13 2018
Inflation Cycles Down as Fed Stays Starstruck
Oblivious of the ongoing inflation cycle downturn, the Fed is still navigating “by the stars.” More
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Dec 12 2018
Inflation is Cyclical
ECRI joins CNBC to discuss how most don’t understand that inflation is cyclical, and how that impacts the debate around Fed rate hike expectations. More
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Dec 07 2018
Global Slowdown,Trade War and the Fed’s Belated Blink
ECRI's Achuthan discusses the ongoing economic slowdown and inflation cycle downturn that the consensus is now catching up to. More
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