News
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Jul 30 2022
Why Some People Actually Want A Recession (And Others Say That's Crazy)
Recessions can be cleansing events for the economy as a whole, forcing inefficient behemoths out of business and making room for more nimble competitors who can better satisfy customer needs. More
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Jul 29 2022
Opinion: The Types Of Jobs To Look For (And Avoid) During A Recession
Strike while the job market is hot, rather than after things have gone cold. More
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Jul 28 2022
Does Two Down Quarters of GDP Mean Recession?
There is much confusion around recession definition and GDP. More
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Jul 18 2022
An Unrivaled Track Record
Suddenly everyone’s a recession expert. Yet, most don’t know what a recession is, let alone correctly predicted one. More
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Jun 01 2022
Input to a Decision-Making Process
A key reason for ECRI as an input to a decision-making process is evident by reviewing the periods when we diverged from the consensus in real-time. More
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May 26 2022
Opinion: It's Time To Prepare For A Recession
The economy is close to entering a recession, perhaps as soon as this year. To avoid taking too much of a financial hit, Americans will need to prepare. More
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May 05 2022
Translating Cycle Research Into Actionable Insights
U.S. economic growth has a major impact on investment strategy and business decisions. More
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Dec 03 2021
Jobs Growth Trending Down
Jobs growth continues its clear downtrend. More
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Dec 02 2021
Growth Slowdowns and Markets
Slowdowns in economic growth see a flattening in the Dow and Russell 2000 punctuated by sharp spikes down. More
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Nov 18 2021
Consumer Spending Cools Off
In sharp contrast to the prevailing optimism, ECRI analysis shows consumer spending is in a cyclical slowdown that will weigh on holiday sales. More
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Oct 08 2021
Job Growth Eases
Job growth has eased in line with our earlier call. More
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Sep 17 2021
Downturn In The Global Industrial Economy
A lot of people are excited about the runup in commodities. We’re saying directionally you got to look the other way. More
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Sep 10 2021
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips. More
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Sep 03 2021
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate declines. More
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Aug 27 2021
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate drops. More
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Aug 20 2021
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate falls further. More
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Aug 13 2021
Weekly Leading Index Falls
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate drops. More
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Aug 06 2021
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate falls. More
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Aug 04 2021
The US Economic Recovery Has Been Record-breaking. Don't Get Used To It
Despite the continued optimism about the reopening, US economic growth is already starting to slow. More
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Jul 30 2021
Weekly Leading Index Edges Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases. More
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