News
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Jan 24 2020
Weekly Leading Index Virtually Unchanged
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 5.2%. More
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Jan 22 2020
Hard Data Defies Confident Consensus
Weakening sales trends and wage growth underscore a sustained slowdown in spending. More
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Jan 17 2020
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 4.4%. More
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Jan 10 2020
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 3.3%. More
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Jan 03 2020
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down to 2.3%. More
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Dec 24 2019
2019 Private Cycle Calls in Review
See how the year unfolded for our clients, who were prepared for a continued global growth slowdown, no upturn in U.S. growth and inflation, and the Fed’s collision with the economic cycle. More
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Dec 20 2019
2019 Public Calls in Review
2019 saw a continued global growth slowdown, no upturn in U.S. growth and inflation, and a complete capitulation by the Fed. More
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Dec 20 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate is virtually unchanged at 2.2%. More
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Dec 13 2019
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down to 2.2%. More
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Dec 06 2019
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 2.4%. More
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Nov 19 2019
Hard Data Decelerating
Hopes of reacceleration predicated on market optimism, but little objective evidence in hard data to support that view. More
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Nov 14 2019
Forecast to Fact: Green Shoots in the Eurozone
Unbeknownst to virtually all, a growth rate cycle upturn was set to take hold in early summer 2019. More
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Nov 08 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -0.3%. More
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Nov 01 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks down to -0.4%. More
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Oct 24 2019
Don't Blame Global Slowdown on Trade War
Many are misunderstanding the primary cause of the current global slowdown, which means that they'll also miss what's coming next. More
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Sep 27 2019
Weekly Leading Index Unchanged
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -0.2%. More
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Sep 23 2019
The US Economy Isn't In The Clear. A Recession is Still on The Table
The stock market is once again nearing record highs amid investor hopes that a recession is off the table — at least for now. More
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Sep 20 2019
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -1.5%. More
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Sep 13 2019
An Upturn In India’s Growth Cycle Is In The Offing
The ECRI’s forward-looking leading indicators on India’s economic cycle tell us that there is a bottoming-out of growth that is in the offing. More
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Sep 13 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth edges up to -2.5%. More
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