News
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Oct 11 2019
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks up to 1.1%. More
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Oct 04 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 0.8%. More
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Sep 27 2019
Weekly Leading Index Unchanged
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to -0.2%. More
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Sep 23 2019
The US Economy Isn't In The Clear. A Recession is Still on The Table
The stock market is once again nearing record highs amid investor hopes that a recession is off the table — at least for now. More
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Sep 20 2019
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -1.5%. More
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Sep 13 2019
An Upturn In India’s Growth Cycle Is In The Offing
The ECRI’s forward-looking leading indicators on India’s economic cycle tell us that there is a bottoming-out of growth that is in the offing. More
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Sep 13 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth edges up to -2.5%. More
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Sep 12 2019
The Trouble with Oil Price Predictions
The ECRI’s forward-looking leading indicators on India’s economic cycle tell us that there is a bottoming-out of growth that is in the offing. More
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Sep 06 2019
Hiring Cooled in August, The Latest in a Long Line of Data Indicating Trump’s Trade War is Starting to Bite
The unemployment rate remained at 3.7 percent. More
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Sep 06 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth falls further to -2.9%. More
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Aug 30 2019
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth falls to -2.1%. More
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Aug 23 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth decreases to -1.3%. More
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Aug 20 2019
How an Economic Downturn Could Ravage Hollywood
“The yield curve is a very imperfect leading indicator of a recession, globally,” says Achuthan, calling it just a “piece of the puzzle.” More
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Aug 16 2019
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth declines to -0.5%. More
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Aug 14 2019
Recession Risk, Rate Cuts and the Future Inflation Gauge
Recession risk is determined not by when the Fed stops rate hikes, but by when it starts a rate cut cycle. More
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Aug 09 2019
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth slips to 0.1%. More
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Aug 01 2019
PMIs Have Not Bottomed Yet
ECRI leading index of PMIs predicts cyclical turns in the ISM and Markit U.S. manufacturing PMIs. More
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Jul 31 2019
The Elephant in the Room Forcing the Fed Rate Cut
The inflation cycle downturn leaves the Fed with no option but to cut rates. More
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Jul 26 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth edged up to 0.0%. More
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Jul 19 2019
Weekly Leading Index Slips
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth increases to -0.7%. More
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