News
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Jun 24 2020
Biggest Risk for Markets
Interview on recession severity and the biggest risk for markets. More
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Jun 09 2020
Recession Started in Feb., But What's Next
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Yahoo Finance to discuss the dating of recession, and the outlook for a near-term recovery. More
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Jun 09 2020
Recession and (Yes) Recovery
Interview on markets and two recovery scenarios. More
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Jun 04 2020
Two Key Recovery Scenarios and Markets
Interview on recession end, markets and the 2001-03 vs. 2009-10 recovery scenarios. More
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Jun 03 2020
Market’s Make Or Break Moment In One Chart
Drawing parallels to the opposing 2001 and 2009 recoveries. More
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May 14 2020
Recession, Recovery, Demand Destruction and Cyclical Risks
Interview on recession, recovery, demand destruction, cyclical risks and what happens next. More
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Apr 22 2020
Interview: Three D's and High-Frequency Data
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the three D’s: depth, diffusion and duration. More
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Mar 05 2020
Impact of Mass School Closings
Discussion on how mass school closings would effect the economy if they come to pass. More
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Mar 03 2020
We're on the Road to Japanification
Oblivious of the economy’s current cyclical resilience, the Fed cut rates today, depleting the precious ammo it will need when recession truly threatens. More
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Jan 28 2020
Coronavirus Impact on Commodity Price Outlook
Industrial commodity price inflation, which had been pretty beaten down, started a cyclical upturn some months ago. More
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Jan 16 2020
Global Industrial Growth Supports Commodities
Industrial commodity price inflation, which is still pretty beaten down, is starting a cyclical upturn on the back of better global industrial growth. More
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Jan 16 2020
Upside for Industrial Commodity Inflation
Cyclical upturn in industrial commodity inflation. More
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Jan 13 2020
Interview on Jobs and Markets
Growth in total hours worked has slowed to its weakest reading since 2010. More
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Dec 31 2019
Understanding Cycles
RealVision discussion on ECRI’s process and updates to the public outlook. More
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Dec 13 2019
What Makes ECRI Different and Our Updated Public Outlook
RealVision interview on the ECRI process and updates to our public outlook. More
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Nov 11 2019
Eurozone Growth Upturn
Interview on ECRI’s early summer call that Eurozone growth would turn up, and how that relates to the prospect of a global industrial growth upturn. More
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Oct 09 2019
Consumer Spending Growth Slowing
The downturn in consumer spending growth fits with the jobs growth slowdown. More
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Oct 02 2019
ISM Mfg, Jobs & Consumer
ISM Mfg at worst reading since June 2009 underscores that the slowdown ECRI predicted long ago is worse than analysts expected. More
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Sep 27 2019
Eurozone Looking Better
People are convinced that the Eurozone is going into recession, but our work reveals that’s too pessimistic because it’s too simplistic. More
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Sep 25 2019
Japan Recession Risk
While many countries around the world are fighting global trade headwinds, it’s much worse for Japan. More
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