News
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Dec 13 2016
Where Were Trump's Votes? Where the Jobs Weren't
For Whites, Fewer Jobs; for Minorities More. More
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May 18 2016
Growth Weighed Down by Inaction
"The litmus test for any policy is, what impact does it have to improve productivity or demographic growth?" More
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May 23 2015
Scoping Out a Phantom Recession
"It's been about as weak as it could be without falling into recession," Mr. Achuthan said. More
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Sep 30 2012
As Money Pours Down, It's No Wonder That Stocks Are Up
The markets are getting plenty of help from the world's big central banks. Will it be enough to keep the current rally going? More
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Jul 15 2012
Cold Facts Are Getting in Investors' Way
"...sometime at the end of the year or early next year the data will be revised and we'll start to get some clarity about when the recession actually started." More
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Apr 06 2012
Some Dreary Forecasts From Recovery Skeptics
When a lackluster jobs report came in on Friday morning, some economists, investors and forecasters were hardly surprised. More
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Dec 18 2011
Forecasting Fog
The American economy certainly isn't at peak strength. With unemployment at a painfully high 8.6 percent, it can't be. More
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Oct 09 2011
An Ugly Forecast That's Been Right Before
LET'S face it: economic forecasting is an act of sheer hubris. Which, of course, only incites people to do it. More
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May 29 2011
Why Are Investors Buying Bonds?
"...By this summer, industrial growth will be visibly slowing around the world, said Lakshman Achuthan, the managing director of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, a private forecasting group. More
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Nov 07 2010
Can Fed Draw Virtuous Circle?
TWO momentous events occurred last week, and what was most startling for the financial markets was that they were so utterly predictable. As if on cue, the markets rose. First, in the midterm elect More
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Feb 21 2010
Unemployed Face Years Without Jobs
"...During periods of American economic expansion in the 1950s, '60s and '70s, the number of private-sector jobs increased about 3.5 percent a year, More
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Oct 14 2009
A Reply to Paul Krugman
In an October 13 blog post Professor Krugman questioned ECRI's real-time More
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Aug 30 2008
Shallow Recessions, Shallow Recoveries
THEY don't make economic recoveries like they used to. More
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May 06 2007
Does It Even Matter if the U.S. Has a Cold?
"We're going through the longest stretch of concerted growth in decades," said Lakshman Achuthan, managing director at the Economic Cycle Research Institute in New York. More
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Mar 04 2007
Forecasters Forecast Is Dismal
The Forecast for the Forecasters Is Dismal, By Daniel Gross More
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Feb 28 2007
A Recession on Cats' Paws
A Recession That Arrived on Cats' Paws, by David Leonhardt More
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Aug 31 2006
Consumer Spending Up in July
Spending by American consumers grew last month at twice the rate it did in June. More
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Aug 30 2006
A Forecast for a Fork in the Road
NEARLY six years ago, when most forecasters were still whistling past the graveyard, a small outfit in New York known as the Economic Cycle Research Institute said the 1990's boom was over. More
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Jan 08 2006
World Isn't Flat, but Yield Curve?
In late December, interest rates on two-year Treasury notes rose higher than rates on 10-year notes. More
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Dec 05 2004
Backed Into a Currency Corner?
The dollar has seemed to be on a one-way trip -down - against other major currencies. More
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