News
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Dec 07 2017
Tax Cuts May Hit Economy as it Slows
ECRI's forward-looking indicators point to "a slowdown that most don't see coming." More
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Jun 17 2011
Soft-patch not a blip
Federal Reserve head Ben Bernanke and many analysts say the economy will emerge from its current soft patch in the second half of the year. More
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May 28 2011
Flat Spain a Risk
"...The Economic Cycle Research Institute's long leading indicator for Spain, which leads business cycle turns by about a year, peaked in March 2007. More
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May 18 2011
Cruel Summer?
A global summer slowdown looms as a leading indicator of factory activity has turned down. More
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Sep 05 2009
Jobs Report and Recovery
U.S. economic growth is poised for a stronger snap-back than most expect More
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Nov 01 2008
Economy's Descent Accelerated In Oct.
The economy seemed to be settling into a mild recession until Lehman Bros.' Sept. 15 bankruptcy roiled global financial markets, sending the U.S. into a steeper descent. More
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Feb 16 2008
Evidence of Consumers, Factories In Reverse
Factories are in retreat, consumers are losing hope and a leading U.S. index falls deeper into recessionary territory, according to separate gloomy reports out Friday. More
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Dec 24 2007
Nov. Spending Hot, Outlook Cloudy
Americans spent at their fastest pace in two years in November, the Commerce Department said Friday, easing concerns about a near-term recession. More
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Nov 23 2007
Fed Has Trouble Spotting Recessions
Forecasting economic growth is a tricky business, occasionally ending in embarrassment for even the most experienced prognosticators. More
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Sep 14 2007
Recession Unlikely, But Risks Are Rising
"We're at the proverbial fork in the road," said Achuthan, managing director at the ECRI. But, "I don't think there's enough to say right now that, boom, a recession is a done deal." More
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May 18 2007
Leading U.S. Gauge Moving Up
The Economic Cycle Research Institute's Weekly Leading Index ticked up 0.1 point 15 142.7 in the week ended May 11. The 4-week annualized growth rate reached a new 3-year high of 6.1%. More
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Aug 23 2006
Soft or Hard Landing?
U.S. Economy Trying For A Soft Landing, But Hard Fall A Risk More
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Jun 16 2004
CPI Leapt 0.6% In May
Consumer prices rose 0.6% in May, the biggest gain in more than three years, the Labor Department said Tuesday. More
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Apr 10 2004
IBD: Fed, Jobs & Inflation
Before the April 2 report showed employers added a four-year-high of 308,000 jobs in March, many economists weren't expecting an interest rate hike before 2005. More
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May 15 2003
April Data Underscore Fears
April PPI, Output Data Underscore Fed Fears Of Deflation, Recession More
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Aug 26 2002
Record Home Sales
New Homes A Record, Existing Stays Strong As Low Rates Do Trick More
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Sep 14 1994
What Greenspan Watches
The Fed is watching a leading inflation index that signals an upturn ahead. More
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