News
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Jul 28 2022
Does Two Down Quarters of GDP Mean Recession?
There is much confusion around recession definition and GDP. More
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Jul 18 2022
An Unrivaled Track Record
Suddenly everyone’s a recession expert. Yet, most don’t know what a recession is, let alone correctly predicted one. More
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Jun 01 2022
Input to a Decision-Making Process
A key reason for ECRI as an input to a decision-making process is evident by reviewing the periods when we diverged from the consensus in real-time. More
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May 05 2022
Translating Cycle Research Into Actionable Insights
U.S. economic growth has a major impact on investment strategy and business decisions. More
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Feb 08 2022
From Gung-Ho to the “R–Word”
ECRI’s process is designed to place decision-makers ahead of the curves in inflation and economic growth, regardless of the salient narrative dominating the headlines. More
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Dec 03 2021
Jobs Growth Trending Down
Jobs growth continues its clear downtrend. More
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Dec 02 2021
Growth Slowdowns and Markets
Slowdowns in economic growth see a flattening in the Dow and Russell 2000 punctuated by sharp spikes down. More
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Nov 24 2021
Checking In on Inflation
One of the most interesting things about cycles is that they turn, always. More
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Nov 18 2021
Consumer Spending Cools Off
In sharp contrast to the prevailing optimism, ECRI analysis shows consumer spending is in a cyclical slowdown that will weigh on holiday sales. More
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Nov 09 2021
Checking In on China
ECRI's Achuthan shares thoughts on recent events in Chinese growth and inflation. More
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Oct 19 2021
Proactive Decision Making
ECRI’s framework for monitoring economic cycles gives us much greater foresight and unwavering conviction, without being jerked around by shifting narratives. More
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Oct 08 2021
Job Growth Eases
Job growth has eased in line with our earlier call. More
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Sep 10 2021
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips. More
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Sep 09 2021
Managing Equity Market Risk
It’s important to understand that major corrections are linked to cyclical downturns in economic growth. More
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Sep 07 2021
Monitoring Cycles To Manage Risk
Watch our webinar about our U.S. slowdown call, including lots of Q&A. More
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Sep 03 2021
Cyclical Dynamics in Recovery
We know what happens following recovery from deep recessions. More
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Sep 03 2021
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate declines. More
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Sep 03 2021
U.S. Slowdown Call On-demand Webinar
The way you monitor cycles is central to managing risk. More
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Aug 27 2021
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate drops. More
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Aug 20 2021
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate falls further. More
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