News
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May 23 2014
Weekly Leading Index Falls
The Weekly Leading Index fell in its latest reading. More
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Feb 28 2014
ECRI WLI Ticking Down
Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity continues to weaken. More
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Jan 17 2014
ECRI WLI Ticks Up
Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity showed a burst of momentum last week. More
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Mar 08 2013
U.S. Price Pressures Pull Back
Despite a recent rise in energy prices, inflationary pressures in the U.S. remain contained. More
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Feb 01 2013
Price Pressures Still Rising in January
Even after the economy stalled in the fourth quarter, inflation pressures picked up at the start of 2013. More
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Apr 01 2011
U.S. FIG Rises
The ECRI US future inflation gauge continues its rise in March, a trend sure to get noticed by Federal Reserve officials concerned about growing inflation expectations. More
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Jul 30 2010
WLI Growth Slips, Level Ticks Up
Growth in the ECRI weekly leading index dropped further into double-digit territory. More
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Jun 18 2010
WLI Growth Drops
Growth in the ECRI weekly leading index fell further into negative territory. More
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Nov 25 2009
V-Shaped Recovery... Maybe
In fact, the roar could blast your eardrums at least according to two obscure economic indicators. The short conclusion: growth rates in U.S. gross domestic product could surpass an annualized 7% More
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Mar 31 2008
Delayed Policy Puts US In Recession
The U.S. economy is headed for recession despite recent policy efforts to avert that outcome, says an economic research institute that closely follows business cycles. More
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Dec 21 2007
Weekly Leading Index Falls
ECRI's weekly leading index - a gauge of future economic activity - continues to see growth rate dip. More
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Nov 03 2007
Stock Prices and the Business Cycle
OP-ED: Does The Stock Market Follow The Business Cycle? More
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Oct 23 2007
It's all about real home prices
Until the decline in home prices is halted, the battered housing market won't be able to recover nor will the economy be able to return to sustainable trend-like growth. More
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Jun 14 2007
Flashback: Signs of Stronger Economy
No. 20, 2006, NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--The index of leading indicators increased for the second month in a row in October, a tentative sign of better economic times ahead. More
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Apr 06 2007
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Edges Up
An index designed to anticipate cyclical turning points in inflation edged up in March, but remains in a longer downtrend since reaching a peak in October 2005. More
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Jan 05 2007
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Falls
An index designed to anticipate cyclical turning points in inflation eased again in December. More
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Aug 23 2006
Fed Gets Big Picture Respite
Data Weary Fed To Get Big Picture Respite In Jackson Hole More
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Aug 09 2006
Fed Skips Rate Hike
Fed Skips Rate Hike, bets on nascent economic slowdown. More
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Feb 07 2006
Bernanke: Watch Cycle Indicators
To Bernanke Fed: Watch Cyclical Indicators More
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Mar 12 2005
Too Sanguine About Commodity Prices
On the surface, it seems contradictory: the Federal Reserve is sanguine about the inflation outlook at a time when commodity prices are at historic highs. More
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