News
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Mar 08 2013
U.S. Price Pressures Pull Back
Despite a recent rise in energy prices, inflationary pressures in the U.S. remain contained. More
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Feb 01 2013
Price Pressures Still Rising in January
Even after the economy stalled in the fourth quarter, inflation pressures picked up at the start of 2013. More
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Apr 01 2011
U.S. FIG Rises
The ECRI US future inflation gauge continues its rise in March, a trend sure to get noticed by Federal Reserve officials concerned about growing inflation expectations. More
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Nov 25 2009
V-Shaped Recovery... Maybe
In fact, the roar could blast your eardrums at least according to two obscure economic indicators. The short conclusion: growth rates in U.S. gross domestic product could surpass an annualized 7% More
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Mar 31 2008
Delayed Policy Puts US In Recession
The U.S. economy is headed for recession despite recent policy efforts to avert that outcome, says an economic research institute that closely follows business cycles. More
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Nov 03 2007
Stock Prices and the Business Cycle
OP-ED: Does The Stock Market Follow The Business Cycle? More
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Oct 23 2007
It's all about real home prices
Until the decline in home prices is halted, the battered housing market won't be able to recover nor will the economy be able to return to sustainable trend-like growth. More
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Jun 14 2007
Flashback: Signs of Stronger Economy
No. 20, 2006, NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--The index of leading indicators increased for the second month in a row in October, a tentative sign of better economic times ahead. More
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Apr 06 2007
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Edges Up
An index designed to anticipate cyclical turning points in inflation edged up in March, but remains in a longer downtrend since reaching a peak in October 2005. More
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Jan 05 2007
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Falls
An index designed to anticipate cyclical turning points in inflation eased again in December. More
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Aug 23 2006
Fed Gets Big Picture Respite
Data Weary Fed To Get Big Picture Respite In Jackson Hole More
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Aug 09 2006
Fed Skips Rate Hike
Fed Skips Rate Hike, bets on nascent economic slowdown. More
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Feb 07 2006
Bernanke: Watch Cycle Indicators
To Bernanke Fed: Watch Cyclical Indicators More
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Mar 12 2005
Too Sanguine About Commodity Prices
On the surface, it seems contradictory: the Federal Reserve is sanguine about the inflation outlook at a time when commodity prices are at historic highs. More
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Dec 03 2004
U.S. Inflation Pressures Elevated
An index designed to anticipate cyclical turning points in inflation increased for a second straight month in November to the highest level since the peak in March. More
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Nov 17 2004
U.S. Current Account Deficit Woes
The U.S. won't be getting help anytime soon from its friends when it comes to slimming its current account deficit. More
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Nov 05 2004
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
A leading index designed to anticipate cyclical turning points in inflation increased in October after a downward-revised decrease in September. More
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Sep 21 2004
Rose Colored Glasses Cloud 'Soft Patch'
Production, employment, sales and income data started coming in much weaker than expected this summer. More
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Aug 23 2004
A Choice of Two Head Fakes
The recent economic weakness in the U.S. isn't a temporary anomaly before a return to robust growth, but a cyclical slowdown in the economy's growth rate, says the Economic Cycle Research Institute. More
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Aug 12 2004
Oil Takes Shine Off IMF Upgrades
Getting an economic upgrade from the IMF may turn out to be like landing on the cover of Sports Illustrated: a feather in your cap, but also a sign trouble may lie ahead. More
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