News
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Jan 22 2021
What Is The Risk of a Major Market Correction?
With stocks near all-time highs, there’s increasing concern about a market correction, or worse. More
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Dec 10 2020
Home Price Growth Rising at Fastest Pace Since Early 2000s
Housing is doing something it hasn’t done since the bubble. More
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Oct 15 2020
Inflation Is Making A ‘Pervasive and Persistent’ Comeback
Interview on the inflation cycle, along with consumers spending on goods and services, and business cycle recovery. More
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Aug 27 2020
Industrial Sector Outlook, Inflation and Economic Recovery Update
Interview on ECRI’s leading indicator's latest readings on the industrial growth outlook, inflation prospects and update to the U.S. economic recovery. More
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Jul 06 2020
Cyclical Fundamentals to the Upside
"This weekly leading index objectively in an apolitical way tells us what do all these positives and negatives. So far, so good." More
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Jun 04 2020
Two Key Recovery Scenarios and Markets
Interview on recession end, markets and the 2001-03 vs. 2009-10 recovery scenarios. More
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Jun 03 2020
Market’s Make Or Break Moment In One Chart
Drawing parallels to the opposing 2001 and 2009 recoveries. More
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Apr 22 2020
Interview: Three D's and High-Frequency Data
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the three D’s: depth, diffusion and duration. More
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Mar 03 2020
We're on the Road to Japanification
Oblivious of the economy’s current cyclical resilience, the Fed cut rates today, depleting the precious ammo it will need when recession truly threatens. More
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Jan 16 2020
Global Industrial Growth Supports Commodities
Industrial commodity price inflation, which is still pretty beaten down, is starting a cyclical upturn on the back of better global industrial growth. More
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Oct 09 2019
Consumer Spending Growth Slowing
The downturn in consumer spending growth fits with the jobs growth slowdown. More
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Oct 02 2019
ISM Mfg, Jobs & Consumer
ISM Mfg at worst reading since June 2009 underscores that the slowdown ECRI predicted long ago is worse than analysts expected. More
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Sep 05 2019
Jobs Growth Prospects Dim
Leading Employment Index growth, which nailed the current jobs slowdown, has fallen sharply. More
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Aug 29 2019
Inflation Cycle, The Fed and Recession Risks
ECRI's Achuthan joined CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the inflation cycle, Fed and recession risks. More
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Jul 11 2019
Earning Growth Outlook Plunges
Earnings growth is highly sensitive to cycles in economic growth, so every cyclical slowdown sees a plunge in earnings growth. More
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Jul 08 2019
Interview: What will the Fed do?
"Elephant in the room" remains the inflation cycle downturn. More
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Jun 15 2019
Should the Fed Cut Rates in June?
ECRI’s research suggests the Fed should have begun a rate cut cycle last September. More
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Jun 07 2019
Inflation, the Fed and the FIG
The Fed and the bond market have both been way behind the curve in anticipating the inflation cycle downturn. ECRI’s U.S. Future Inflation Gauge was far more prescient. More
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Apr 25 2019
Market Optimism and the Hard Data
ECRI's Achuthan joins CNBC to discuss the U.S. slowdown and how the hard economic data shows slowing growth. More
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Mar 16 2019
The Canary in the Semiconductor-chip Fab
ECRI’s leading indexes, which anticipate turning points in semiconductor shipment growth, clearly predicted this collapse. More
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