News
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Jan 22 2020
Hard Data Defies Confident Consensus
Weakening sales trends and wage growth underscore a sustained slowdown in spending. More
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Nov 11 2019
Forward-Looking Data Up, ECRI Says
Prospects of a global industrial growth upturn. More
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Nov 11 2019
Eurozone Growth Upturn
Interview on ECRI’s early summer call that Eurozone growth would turn up, and how that relates to the prospect of a global industrial growth upturn. More
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Sep 27 2019
Eurozone Looking Better
People are convinced that the Eurozone is going into recession, but our work reveals that’s too pessimistic because it’s too simplistic. More
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Sep 25 2019
Japan Recession Risk
While many countries around the world are fighting global trade headwinds, it’s much worse for Japan. More
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Sep 24 2019
Cyclical Upturn in India
From a cyclical perspective India is looking better, with ECRI’s leading indexes showing a trough in the current slowdown. More
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Sep 24 2019
The U.S. Jobs Slowdown is Important
U.S. jobs growth, already at an 8-year low, will keep falling, undermining consumer spending. More
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Sep 23 2019
Industrial Slowdown Grips China and the U.S.
Despite the ups and downs of trade talks, the global industrial growth continues with knock-on effects for China and the U.S. More
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Sep 13 2019
An Upturn In India’s Growth Cycle Is In The Offing
The ECRI’s forward-looking leading indicators on India’s economic cycle tell us that there is a bottoming-out of growth that is in the offing. More
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Sep 01 2019
Central Bank Failures and Recession Risks
Updates to ECRI’s U.S. and China slowdown calls, and monetary policy dilemmas in the context of Grand Experiments launched post-GFC. More
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Aug 30 2019
Worsening U.S. Slowdown
Discussion about the ongoing turns in U.S. economic growth and inflation. More
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Aug 30 2019
Surveillance Podcast: Global Slowdown and Trade War
ECRI's Achuthan joins Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast to discuss global slowdown and U.S.-China trade war. More
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Aug 30 2019
China’s “Rust Belt” Problem
The Chinese cyclical slowdown continues, as they shore up their “rust belt.” More
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Jul 16 2019
China and G7 Inflation
ECRI spoke with Bloomberg Daybreak Asia, about global industrial growth, inflation and China’s stimulus. More
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Jul 08 2019
Monthly Jobs Surveys May Overshoot Gains
Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg Radio to discuss ECRI's latest opinion piece. More
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Jul 05 2019
The Myth of the Tight U.S. Labor Market
Jobs growth is substantially slower than the headline employment data indicate. More
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Jun 10 2019
U.S. Inflation Cycle and More China Stimulus
ECRI’s Achuthan spoke with Bloomberg Daybreak Asia about ECRI’s inflation cycle research, how global slowing preceded the trade war, and why more Chinese stimulus is likely. More
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Feb 26 2019
Trump & Xi Trade, China Outlook, Fed
ECRI's Achuthan joins Bloomberg TV to discuss our high conviction, contrarian views, Brexit, trade tensions and the prospect of hitting Trump’s growth targets. More
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Feb 19 2019
The Fed’s 'First, Do No Harm' Policy Is Harmful
Instead of pausing, the central bank may need to start cutting interest rates to avoid a recession. More
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Jan 28 2019
Turning Points in Global Growth & Market Risk
Global economic growth continues to slow, as ECRI correctly called a year ago, but no recession imminent. More
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