News
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Oct 27 2018
Why Trump May Be Right About the Fed
“The biggest risk is the Fed,” President Trump charged again last week. Meanwhile, ECRI analysis points “It’s a full-blown downturn, pointing to a further decline in inflation pressures.” More
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Aug 31 2018
Will the Flattening Yield Curve Lead to Recession?
In contrast to the latest robust GDP readings, ECRI’s broader U.S. Coincident Index is below last October’s peak. More
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Sep 04 2015
The Fed Should Boost Rates, But Not Just Yet
Janet Yellen and Stanley Fischer should listen to vice chair William Dudley – along with St. Augustine. More
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Jul 07 2012
The Threat From a Recession
ECRI says an economic contraction is imminent. Why does this matter to commodities? The raw-materials sector tends to get hit harder than the rest of the economy in a recession. More
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Oct 05 2011
Made in the U.S.A.
"Sell in May and go away" is the hoary cliché that proved prescient this year for stock traders. More
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Sep 24 2011
Recall Last May
"As if to underline the Fed's downbeat assessment (which was echoed by the International Monetary Fund), the Economic Cycle Research Institute's U.S. weekly leading indicator has deteriorated. More
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Aug 24 2011
Rumble From Richmond
There was a rumble from Richmond, which extended north to New York. More
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Jul 03 2010
China's Soft-Landing
Excerpt from International Trader More
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Jun 11 2010
WLI Drops, But No Double-Dip Yet
The Economic Cycle Research Institute today offered up its view of last week's "weekly leading indicators," More
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Mar 12 2010
Weekly Leading Indicators Weak
Want some more bad news to throw on top of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index's dreary results? More
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May 01 2009
Economic Barometers Start Rising
Forecasting is difficult, especially where the future is concerned. More
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Feb 08 2009
Supply-Side Hit to T-Bonds
Treasury yields are on the rise. Debit that! More
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Mar 05 2008
Stagflation? Don't Get Fooled Again.
THERE'S BEEN A LOT WRITTEN LATELY about stagflation. More
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Jul 10 2006
Hiking Around the Globe
Slim margin in odds for another quarter-point increase in the federal-funds target rate. More
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Oct 22 2005
China's Booming?
China's economic growth is looking robust. Last week, the mainland reported that its economy grew 9.4% in the third quarter, beating expectations. More
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Mar 20 2005
A Cooler Springtime for China
SUDDENLY, CHINA IS REACCELERATING. After the People's Republic introduced a raft of measures to cool down the economy over the last 12 months. More
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Nov 01 2004
What to Read on the Weekend
Get your spin-free updates from original sources on the Web. The Economic Cycle Research Institute is one such venue. More
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Jul 29 2001
Fallen and Can't Get Up, Industrial Prices Point to Weakness
Industrial production is sliding globally and there is no bottom in sight. More
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