Contact

A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

WLI Rises


A measure of future U.S. economic growth picked up in the latest week, while the annualized growth rate rose for the first time in three months, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index gained to 121.3 in the week ended Oct 21 from 120.4 the previous week.

The index's annualized growth rate inched up to minus 10.0 percent from minus 10.1 percent a week earlier.

Related News & Events

An Ugly Forecast That’s Been Right Before

New York Times October 9, 2011

LET’S face it: economic forecasting is an act of sheer hubris. Which, of course, only incites people to do it. More

 

Squaring Higher Stocks with Recession

CNBC October 24, 2011

Flashback to an April 2008 interview discussing how ECRI's recession call remained intact despite a rise in stock prices and other data. More

 

Related Reports