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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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WLI Little Changed


A measure of future U.S. economic growth was little changed in the latest week, while the annualized growth rate improved modestly, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index dipped to 122.3 in the week ended Dec 9 from 122.4 the previous week. That was originally reported as 122.5.

The index's annualized growth rate improved to minus 7.5 percent from minus 7.7 percent a week earlier.

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Bloomberg December 8, 2011

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Recession Call Intact

CNBC November 7, 2011

Lakshman Achuthan joined CNBC to discuss ECRI's recession call announced on Sep. 30, and explained that over the past century most recessions began during quarters with positive GDP growth. More

 

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