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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

WLI Falls


A measure of future U.S. economic growth eased last week, though the annualized growth rate continued to improve, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based  independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index  edged down to 125.7 in the week ended April 6 from 126.3 the previous week.

That was originally reported as 126.5. The index's annualized growth rate rose to 1.4 percent from  0.9 percent a week earlier. 

Related News & Events

Toronto

ECRI April 30, 2012

ECRI principals will be in Toronto to meet with professional members on April 30, 2012.

 

The Yo-Yo Years

ECRI March 22, 2012

Presentation slides and notes from Frankfurt conference about the risk of contagion, explaining why both developed and developing economies are now in the "Yo-Yo Years." More

 

Why Our Recession Call Stands

ECRI March 15, 2012

Many have questioned why, in the face of improving economic data, ECRI has maintained its recession call. The straight answer is that the objective economic indicators we monitor give us no choice. More