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Weekly Leading Index Jumps


A measure of future U.S. economic growth climbed higher in the latest week while its yearly growth rate hit a fresh five-year high, signaling a stronger recovery than originally forecast, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index rose to 119.6 in the week ended July 24 from a downwardly revised 118.3 the previous week, which was originally reported at 118.4.

The index's annualized growth rate continued to soar, reaching a new five-year high of 8.8 percent from 7.7 percent the prior week.

It was the highest yearly growth reading since the week to Oct. 3, 2008 when it was 8.9 percent.

ECRI Managing Director Lakshman Achuthan has said the recession is already beginning to wane, and that increased stimulus from Washington is not necessary for economic growth.

"Not only is the U.S. recession set to end this summer, but the recovery is apt to be stronger than many expect."...
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