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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

New Growth Rate Cycle Dates


We have recently determined growth rate cycle peak dates for France, Italy and Switzerland.

You can download the complete international business and growth rate cycle chronologies from ECRI's cycle chronologies page.

VIEW THIS ARTICLE ON ECRI

Related Insights

More Frequent Recessions

ECRI March 1, 2010

The convergence of lower trend growth and higher cyclical volatility will lead to more frequent recessions, keeping the jobless rate cycling around high levels and spelling the death of buy-and-hold strategies for stocks.

 

Related News & Events

Frankfurt Conference

Bloomberg March 22, 2012

On March 22 at 9:00 AM ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will join a panel discussion about the "Risks Beyond the Eurozone and the Threat of Contagion" during the Bloomberg Sovereign Debt Conference.