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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Eurozone Inflation Pressures at 40-month low


Eurozone inflation will ease in the coming months after price pressures fell further from the three-year lows hit in May, an indicator designed to predict cyclical trends showed on Friday.

The Eurozone Future Inflation Gauge (EZFIG), published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute, fell to a 40-month low of 91.2 in June from May's 91.8.

"Eurozone inflation will stay in a downturn in the months ahead," said Lakshman Achuthan, ECRI's chief operations officer.

Preliminary official data earlier this week showed consumer prices remained stable last month giving the European Central Bank room to ease policy if needed.

Consumer price inflation was unchanged at 1.6 percent year-on-year in July.

 

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