Contact

A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

New Growth Rate Cycle Dates for Austria


Today ECRI is announcing a new Austrian growth rate cycle trough date, Feb. 2013.

Click here for the complete international growth rate cycle chronology.

Growth rate cycles – alternating periods of accelerating and decelerating economic growth – occur within business cycles.

Growth rate cycle downturns can culminate in either recessions or soft landings that are followed by a reacceleration in economic growth. Using an approach analogous to that used to determine business cycle dates, ECRI has established growth rate cycle chronologies for more than 20 countries and is considered the arbiter for international business cycle dates.

Related News & Events

Eurozone Inflation Pressures Remain Muted

Reuters June 6, 2014

Inflation pressures remain muted, according to the Eurozone Future Inflation Gauge, published a day after interest rate cuts and other monetary easing by the ECB. More

 

Cognitive Dissonance at the Fed?

ECRI May 30, 2014

As Fed and CBO trend growth estimates fall to the Fed’s 2% recessionary stall speed, how does economy reach escape velocity? More