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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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ECRI WLI Ticks Down


A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to a four-week low last week and the annualized growth rate slowed, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based  independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index fell to 131.1 in the week ended Aug. 16, which was the lowest since the week ended July 19, and down from 131.2 in the week ended Aug. 9.

The index's annualized growth rate slipped to 4.5 percent, also the lowest since the week ending July 19. It stood at 4.7 percent a week earlier.

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