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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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ECRI WLI Ticks Up


A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week, while the annualized growth rate also rose, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based  independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index  rose to 123.6 in the week ended Aug. 24 from 123.3 the prior week.

The index's annualized growth rate improved to +0.6 percent in the most recent week from -0.1 percent a week earlier.

Related News & Events

Auf der Suche nach der Rezession in den USA

Neue Zürcher Zeitung August 24, 2012

Die US-Wirtschaft quält sich gemessen am BIP langsam voran. Manche Beobachter meinen mit Blick auf einen breiteren Zahlenkranz jedoch, eine milde Rezession in den USA habe bereits begonnen. More

 

Recession Here

Bloomberg July 10, 2012

It takes time to realize that a recession has already begun. More