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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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ECRI WLI Slips


A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged lower in the latest week, while the annualized growth rate also slowed, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based  independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index  fell to 129.1 in the week ended Feb. 15 from 129.7 the previous  week. That was originally reported as 129.6.

The index's annualized growth rate decreased to 7.6 percent from 8.4 percent a week earlier, which was revised higher from 8.3 percent.