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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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ECRI WLI Rises


A measure of future U.S. economic growth strengthened last week to its highest level in three and a half years, while the annualized growth rate ticked higher, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said that in the week ended Nov. 29 its Weekly Leading Index rose to 132.8, its highest since April 2010, from a revised 132.3 the previous week. That was originally reported as 132.5.

The index's annualized growth rate increased to 2.9 percent, its highest since early October, from a revised 2.6 percent a week earlier. The growth rate was originally reported at 2.7 percent.

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US Future Inflation Gauge Ticks Up

Bond Buyer December 6, 2013

U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in November. More