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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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ECRI WLI Growth Slows


A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to a four-week high while the annualized growth rate slipped to the lowest level in over a year, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index stood at 131.5 in the week ended Oct. 25, up from 131.1 the prior week.

The index's annualized growth rate was 1.7 percent, the lowest since August 2012, down from 2.0 percent the previous week.

Related News & Events

Euro zone inflation pressures decline further

Reuters November 1, 2013

Euro zone inflation will ease further in the coming months as price pressures have fallen to their lowest level in almost four years, an indicator designed to predict cyclical trends showed on Friday. More

 

Becoming Japan (Part 2)

ECRI November 4, 2013

Inflation has already turned lower in the U.S. and the Eurozone than in Japan. More

 

Major Central Bank Actions in Line with ECRI

Bloomberg November 4, 2013

ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg TV this morning to discuss central bank actions. More