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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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ECRI WLI Growth Slips


A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up last week but the annualized growth rate slowed to its lowest in a year, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index rose to 130.4 in the week ended Oct. 11 from a revised 130.3 the previous week. That was originally reported as 130.4.

The index's annualized growth rate fell to 2.8 percent, its lowest since September 2012, from 3.6 percent a week earlier, a figure originally reported as 3.8 percent.

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