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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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ECRI WLI Drops


A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged lower last week, while the annualized growth rate also slowed, a research group said on Friday.

The Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York-based independent forecasting group, said its Weekly Leading Index fell to 131.4 in the week ended Dec. 6 from a revised 132.7 the previous week, which originally had been reported as 132.8.

The index's annualized growth rate slowed to 2.8 percent from 2.9 percent a week earlier.

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