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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Drops


Price pressures continue to lessen in June, according to a report released Friday by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

The ECRI U.S. future inflation gauge fell to 103.3 last month from 103.7 in May and 105.5 in April. The gauge is designed to measure the economy's underlying price pressures and predict turning points in the U.S. inflation cycle.

"With the [index] falling further to a seven-month low, U.S. inflation pressures have clearly waned," says Lakshman Achuthan, ECRI director.

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Euro zone inflation pressures hold at 39-month low

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"Euro zone inflation will remain in a downswing in the months ahead," said Lakshman Achuthan, ECRI's chief operations officer. More