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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Interview: Recession in the Yo-Yo Years


Lakshman Achuthan joins CNBC to discuss ECRI's recent presentations in Oslo and Chicago: Recession in the Yo-Yo Years.

To see a chart of the official coincident indicators used to determine recession dates, including GDP, please see page three of the presentation.

Stock prices can rise during recession, please see page twelve.

On page 15 of the presentation you can view the operating earnings chart.

Click here to download the presentation images and notes.

Related News & Events

Recession in the Yo-Yo Years

ECRI March 8, 2013

Year-over-year growth in nonfarm payroll jobs has now dropped to an 18-month low, and household job growth has dropped to a 16-month low. See images and notes on the state of the business cycle. More

 

Upcoming TV Interview

CNBC April 7, 2013

On Sunday April 7 Lakshman Achuthan joins "On the Money" with Maria Bartiromo to discuss the cyclical outlook in the context of recent economic data. The interview will air at 11:30 AM (ET) on WNBC and also at 7:30 PM (ET) on CNBC.