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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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US Future Inflation Gauge Ticks Up


U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in January, as the U.S. future inflation gauge climbed to 101.4 from the December 100.7 reading, according to data released Friday morning by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

"The USFIG stands well below its earlier highs, and is still close to October's 22-month low," ECRI Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan said in a release, "Thus, underlying inflation pressures remain restrained."

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Inflationary pressures easing in euro zone

Reuters February 7, 2014

Inflationary pressures in the euro zone remain in a downtrend, likely adding to fears about deflation in the 18-nation bloc. More