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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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US Future Inflation Gauge Ticks Up


U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in November, as the U.S. future inflation gauge climbed to 100.3 from the revised October 99.7 reading, originally reported 99.5, according to data released Friday morning by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

"With the USFIG staying near October's 22-month low, underlying inflation pressures remain in a cyclical downtrend," ECRI Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan said in a release.

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Eurozone inflation pressures up a tad in Oct but still muted

Reuters December 6, 2013

"Although the EZFIG increased in October, it remains in a cyclical downtrend... Eurozone inflation is likely to stay soft." More