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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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U.S. FIG At Six Month Low


U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly lower in May, as the U.S. future inflation gauge slipped to 103.9 from an upwardly revised 105.5 in April, originally reported as 105.4, according to data released Friday morning by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

"The USFIG has now declined to a six-month low," ECRI Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan said in a release. "Thus, U.S. inflation pressures are in a clear cyclical downturn."

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Eurozone Inflation Pressures Fall to 38- Month Low

Reuters June 7, 2013

"The EZFIG declined further in its latest reading to a 38-month low, suggesting that euro zone inflation will stay in an easing trend in the months ahead," said ECRI. More