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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

Recession Update: Part 1 of 2


Lakshman Achuthan joins Bloomberg Surveillance to discuss ECRI's recent presentations in Oslo and Chicago: Recession in the Yo-Yo Years.

To see a chart of the Fed's GDI stall speed measure, as discussed in the interview, please see page three of the presentation.

On page six of the presentation there is a chart showing that year-over-year growth in nonfarm payroll jobs has now dropped to an 18-month low, and household job growth has dropped to a 16-month low.

The referenced nominal GDP chart can be viewed on page two of the presentation.

Please see page six of the presentation for referenced housing charts.

Click here to download the presentation images and notes.

Related News & Events

Recession Update: Part 2 of 2

Bloomberg March 7, 2013

ECRI's Achuthan joins Bloomberg Surveillance to discuss his recent presentation: Recession in the Yo-Yo Years. More

 

Interview: Recession in the Yo-Yo Years

CNBC March 6, 2013

Lakshman Achuthan joins CNBC to discuss ECRI's recent presentations in Oslo and Chicago: Recession in the Yo-Yo Years. More

 

Bahamas

ECRI March 18, 2013

ECRI principals will be visiting the Bahamas from March 18 - 20 to meet with professional members.