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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Updated Growth Rate Cycle Dates


We have recently updated the latest growth rate cycle peak date for Switzerland as October 2010.

You can download the complete international history of business and growth rate cycle dates from ECRI's cycle chronologies page.

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The 2012 Recession: Are We There Yet?

ECRI September 13, 2012

Nine months ago we knew that, sitting here today, most people probably would not realize that we are in recession – and we do believe we are in recession. More