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During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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ECRI Inflation Gauge Slips


U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly lower in June, as the U.S. future inflation gauge dropped to 101.2 from an unrevised 102.3 in May, according to data released Friday morning by the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

"With its latest dip, the USFIG has dropped further below last year's cyclical high. Thus, U.S. inflation pressures are clearly in retreat," ECRI Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan said in a release.

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Euro Future Inflation Gauge, 26-month low

Reuters July 6, 2012

ECRI: "The EZFIG dropped to a 26-month low in May, due to declining inflation pressures in the major euro zone economies, thus, euro zone inflation is likely to lessen further." More