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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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ECRI on EM vs. U.S. Growth


Watch ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan’s interview with Bloomberg TV discussing the global industrial slowdown, emerging market developments, and how the stealth U.S. slowdown plays into trade negotiations. Fed policy and windows of vulnerability are also discussed in the context of ECRI’s cyclical framework.

VIEW THIS ARTICLE ON BLOOMBERG

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Will the Flattening Yield Curve Lead to Recession?

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In contrast to the latest robust GDP readings, ECRI’s broader U.S. Coincident Index is below last October’s peak. More

 

Managing the Risk of Equity Corrections

CNBC August 31, 2018

ECRI's Achuthan on CNBC to discuss how equity correction risk rises during cyclical slowdowns in economic growth. More