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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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New Growth Rate Cycle Peak and Trough Dates for New Zealand


Today ECRI is announcing new growth rate cycle peak (Apr. 2010) and trough (Oct. 2010) dates for New Zealand.

Click here for the complete international growth rate cycle chronology.

Growth rate cycles – alternating periods of accelerating and decelerating economic growth – occur within business cycles. Growth rate cycle downturns can culminate in either recessions or soft landings that are followed by a reacceleration in economic growth. Using an approach analogous to that used to determine business cycle dates, ECRI has established growth rate cycle chronologies for more than 20 countries.

Related News & Events

Becoming Japan (Part 1)

ECRI July 30, 2013

Japan’s lost decades showed faster GDP growth than in the U.S. and other major economies in the last five years. More

 

Bloomberg Interview on Becoming Japan

Bloomberg July 30, 2013

ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg TV this morning to discuss our recession call, and how the U.S. economy is now resembling Japan's "lost decades." More

 

U.S. Economy Looking More Japanese

Wall Street Journal July 30, 2013

“Basically the U.S. is already becoming like Japan during the lost decades,” says ECRI director, Lakshman Achuthan. More