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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up


The Economic Cycle Research Institute index rose 0.3 point to 135.4 in the May 24 week. The 4-week annualized growth rate rose to 5.3% from 5%. That's the best in nearly a year.

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Related News & Events

US Money Slump Flashes Warnings as Economy Contracts

The Daily Telegraph May 30, 2014

The US seems caught in a Japan-style trap, endlessly masking the effect by stealing a little extra growth from the future with artificial stimulus. More