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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

U.S. WLI Ticks Up


The U.S. Weekly Leading Index ticked up to 134.6 from 134.2. The growth rate rose to 1.2% from 0.5%.

To put the state of the economy in perspective click here to read A Two-Speed Economy.

For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, please see the chart below:

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Surf's Up

ECRI May 14, 2015

Industrial commodity price inflation is in a broadbased cyclical upturn that is about much more than just oil. More

 

Oil Price Volatility, Recessions, U.S. Outlook

Bloomberg May 11, 2015

ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg TV to discuss ECRI's recession call, the implications of oil price volatility, the two-speed economy in the U.S., and more. More