A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.



U.S. Future Inflation Gauge at 70-month High

ECRI’s U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (USFIG) rose again in June. The value of the USFIG lies in its ability to measure underlying inflationary pressures and thereby predict turning points in the U.S. inflation cycle.

"With the USFIG trending up and hitting a 70-month high in June, underlying inflation pressures have risen further."

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Euro zone inflationary pressures at 25-month high

Reuters July 3, 2014

"... euro zone inflation is likely to bottom out in the coming months." More