frameworkContact

A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

U.S. WLI Ticked Down


The U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) ticked down to 139.6 from 139.7. The growth rate decreased to 8.8% from 9.2%.



To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- watch Lakshman Achuthan's current interview on Reuters

- read ECRI's "Fed Moves in Mysterious Ways"

- listen to Lakshman Achuthan's radio interview on Bloomberg podcast.

For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, see the chart below:

Related News & Events

Stagflation Lite & Simple Math

Reuters October 7, 2016

Inflation rising as the economy slows, compounded by intractable structural problems. More

 

Fed Moves in Mysterious Ways

ECRI October 4, 2016

The Fed again runs the risk of falling behind the inflation cycle. More

 

Published Paper: Cyclical Misconceptions Driving Policy Mistakes

Challenge October 3, 2016

Keys to the Productivity Puzzle More

 

Interview on Fed Models, and an Esoteric Long Leading Index

Bloomberg September 19, 2016

More detail on ECRI’s growth rate cycles, and the global outlook. More

 

Related Reports