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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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U.S. WLI Unchanged


The U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) unchanged at 145.1. The growth rate ticked down to 11.8% from 11.9%.



To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- read ECRI's "Future Inflation Gauge Leads Inflation Expectations".

- read ECRI's "Women’s Labor Force Participation Down, Capping Jobs & Economic Growth".

For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, see the chart below:

Related News & Events

Future Inflation Gauge Leads Inflation Expectations

ECRI February 3, 2017

Last summer, when inflation expectations were near multiyear lows, the USFIG was already in a decisive upturn. More

 

Women’s Labor Force Participation Down, Capping Jobs & Economic Growth

ECRI February 1, 2017

The job growth promised by President Trump requires demographics the U.S. used to enjoy decades ago. More

 

ECRI in Vail

ECRI February 9, 2017

ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will be meeting with clients in Vail on February 9 and 10.

 

Immigration, Women, Key to Job Growth Goals

MSNBC February 6, 2017

With current rates of immigration maintained, population growth expected to fall .5% in ten years to .2%. More

 

Trump Will Need 'Dramatic Surge In Immigration' To Reach Job Goals

Huffington Post February 2, 2017

Absent "baby boom" demographics, and without a surge in immigration or women joining the labor force, it will be difficult to add 25 million jobs in 8 years. More

 

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