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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

US Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up


The U.S. Weekly Leading Index ticks up to 131.1 from 131.0. The growth rate increases to -2.0% from -2.6%.

 
To put the state of the economy in perspective click here to listen to Lakshman Achuthan in a recent interview on Bloomberg.

For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, please see the chart below:

Related News & Events

Key Points from Interview on Cyclical Outlook

Bloomberg November 24, 2015

A full-blown rate hike cycle — beyond the effective tightening already seen — looks questionable. More

 

Flashback to “Simple Math: ½% + ½% = 1%”

ECRI November 20, 2015

The Fed has acknowledged what we have been saying – that simple math shows trend US GDP growth heading toward 1%. More

 

Multiple Jobholders Boost “Full-time” Employment

ECRI November 18, 2015

The rising ranks of multiple jobholders are driving job gains. More

 

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