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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Ticked Up


The U.S. Weekly Leading Index ticked up to 133.2 from 133.0. The growth rate rose to 1.6% from 0.7%.

To put the state of the economy in perspective click here to watch Lakshman Achuthan in a current interview on Reuters.

 
For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, please see the chart below:

Related News & Events

New Growth Rate Cycle Peak Date Determined for Japan

ECRI April 7, 2016

New Japanese growth rate cycle date. More

 

U.S. Coincident Index Growth Rate Ticks Down

ECRI March 24, 2016

Year-over-year growth in ECRI’s USCI, a broad measure of economic activity that includes GDP, employment, income and sales, ticked down to to 2.3%. More

 

Interview on Fed and the Business Cycle

Reuters March 16, 2016

More often than not, turns in economic surprise indexes are false alarms, and false all-clear signals. More