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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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U.S. Weekly Leading Index Slips


The U.S. Weekly Leading Index slips to 129.6 from 130.2. The growth rate ticks down to -2.3% from -2.1%.

To put the state of the economy in perspective please read Grand Experiments That Are Too Big to Fail.

 
For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, please see the chart below:

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U.S. Inflation Gauge Ticks Up

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Eurozone Inflation Pressures Fade

Reuters February 5, 2016

With inflation well below its 2 percent target ceiling, the ECB is expected to cut its deposit rate further into negative territory in March, a Reuters poll found. More

 

Grand Experiments That Are Too Big to Fail

ECRI January 28, 2016

The fate of the global economy depends on the success of these unconventional efforts to boost economic growth. More

 

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