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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

News

 

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Rose


The U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) rose to 145.0 from 144.6. The growth rate edged up to 12.0% from 11.9%, a 349-week high, highest since May 7, 2010.



To put the economy in perspective please see links below:

- read Lakshman Achuthan's recent presentation in Hong Kong on Disentangling Cyclical from Structural.

- read ECRI's "2016 Shapes 2017 Cyclical Outlook".

For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, see the chart below:

Related News & Events

Disentangling Cyclical from Structural

ECRI January 17, 2017

Hong Kong presentation slides and notes. More

 

2016 Shapes 2017 Cyclical Outlook

ECRI January 13, 2017

Cycle calls for inflation and growth extend into New Year. More

 

Interview on Cyclical Growth & Inflation Outlook

Bloomberg January 5, 2017

Lakshman Achuthan discusses cyclical prospects for the global economy. More

 

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