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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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U.S. Weekly Leading Index Rose


The U.S. Weekly Leading Index rose to 135.2 from 134.2. The growth rate increased to 3.5% from 2.5%.



To put the economy in perspective read ECRI's "Flawed Assumptions and Grand Experiments," presented by Lakshman Achuthan at the Levy Economics Institute’s 25th Annual Hyman P. Minsky Conference this week. Please follow this link to the presentation slides

For a closer look at recent moves in the U.S. Weekly Leading Index, please see the chart below:

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Flawed Assumptions and Grand Experiments

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